Dongen vs Gemert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
39.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dongen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
VEN
1 - 1
DON
54%
21%
25%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
DON
3 - 1
OJC
68%
18%
14%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
DES
2 - 3
DON
32%
23%
46%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
DON
1 - 3
EHC
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
BAR
3 - 2
DON
42%
24%
34%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
GEM
3 - 0
GRO
65%
20%
16%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
DEV
0 - 4
GEM
28%
26%
46%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
DIJ
0 - 1
GEM
31%
27%
42%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
GEM
4 - 0
VEN
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
OJC
0 - 1
GEM
21%
25%
54%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | +1 |