Doncaster Rovers vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
68.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Doncaster Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
BRA
2 - 0
DON
24%
23%
53%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
DON
4 - 0
ROS
83%
12%
6%
|
57 | 6 | 51 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
DON
1 - 4
POS
23%
25%
52%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
BPO
2 - 0
DON
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
ROC
1 - 2
DON
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
YOR
1 - 0
NEW
5%
15%
80%
|
81 | 43 | 38 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
FUL
0 - 2
NEW
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 0
SHE
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
NEW
3 - 4
MAC
7%
16%
76%
|
81 | 96 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
LEI
2 - 4
NEW
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | +1 |