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Austria Fourth Division. Alta Austria, Matchday 16

Donau Linz vs St. Martin im Muhlreis analysis

Donau Linz St. Martin im Muhlreis
6 ELO 9
58% Tilt 21%
12426º General ELO ranking 9885º
279º Country ELO ranking 197º
ELO win probability
59.8%
Donau Linz
19.8%
Draw
20.4%
St. Martin im Muhlreis

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
Donau Linz
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
20.4%
Win probability
St. Martin im Muhlreis
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Donau Linz
+51%
+10%
St. Martin im Muhlreis

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
SV Wallern
35
61
51%
Weißkirchen / Allhaming
35
59
24%
Oedt
31
55
17%
Bad Schallerbach
27
47
9%
Kornspitz Pregarten
24
42
8%
St. Valentin
23
43
8%
Zebau Bad Ischl
22
45
7%
St. Martin im Muhlreis
22
39
10º
7%
SV Friedburg
22
47
6%
Union Edelweiß
10º
19
40
7%
Union St. Florian
11º
18
31
14º
9%
Pöttinger Grieskirchen
12º
18
33
13º
9%
Grün-Weiß Micheldorf
13º
17
33
12º
9%
Donau Linz
14º
15
37
11º
8%
Union Mondsee
15º
14
28
15º
14%
Union Perg
16º
11
26
16º
20%
Expected probabilities
Donau Linz
St. Martin im Muhlreis
Champion
0% 2%
Mid-table
55% 68%
Could qualify for next round
34% 25%
Relegation
10% 6%

ELO progression

Donau Linz
DON
St. Martin im Muhlreis
STM
Zebau Bad Ischl
SVZ
Union Mondsee
UMA
Weißkirchen / Allhaming
WEA
Union St. Florian
STF
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Donau Linz
Donau Linz
1%
X%
2%
ELO DON ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Jan. 2020
FCB
Blau-Weiß Linz
3 - 1
Donau Linz
DON
58%
24%
19%
135 569 434 -25
09 Nov. 2019
DON
Donau Linz
4 - 0
Union Mondsee
UMA
46%
27%
27%
133 171 -38 +2
31 Oct. 2019
WEA
Weißkirchen / Allhaming
1 - 0
Donau Linz
DON
47%
27%
26%
134 182 48 -1
25 Oct. 2019
SVW
SV Wallern
4 - 3
Donau Linz
DON
49%
26%
25%
135 249 114 -1
18 Oct. 2019
DON
Donau Linz
2 - 3
Kornspitz Pregarten
SPG
46%
27%
27%
136 157 -21 -1

Matches

St. Martin im Muhlreis
St. Martin im Muhlreis
1%
X%
2%
ELO STM ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Nov. 2019
SVW
SV Wallern
1 - 0
St. Martin im Muhlreis
STM
49%
26%
25%
144 251 107 -1
02 Nov. 2019
STM
St. Martin im Muhlreis
0 - 1
Kornspitz Pregarten
SPG
46%
27%
27%
145 158 -13 -1
26 Oct. 2019
OED
Oedt
6 - 1
St. Martin im Muhlreis
STM
46%
27%
26%
146 212 66 -2
19 Oct. 2019
STM
St. Martin im Muhlreis
2 - 1
Pöttinger Grieskirchen
SVP
46%
27%
27%
146 167 -21 +1
11 Oct. 2019
GRU
Grün-Weiß Micheldorf
0 - 2
St. Martin im Muhlreis
STM
46%
27%
27%
144 109 -35 +1