Dominica vs Suriname analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
51.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dominica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
DMA
4 - 0
BHS
36%
22%
42%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
SXM
0 - 2
DMA
7%
13%
80%
|
37 | 5 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
CAN
5 - 0
DMA
82%
14%
3%
|
37 | 76 | 39 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
DMA
0 - 0
SUR
26%
23%
50%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
ATG
0 - 0
DMA
69%
19%
12%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Suriname
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
SUR
2 - 0
KNA
31%
24%
45%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
JAM
2 - 1
SUR
81%
15%
4%
|
49 | 77 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
SUR
5 - 0
VGB
80%
14%
7%
|
49 | 11 | 38 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
DMA
0 - 0
SUR
26%
23%
50%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2018 |
ALM
4 - 2
SUR
65%
19%
16%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |