Domagnano vs Fiorentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
40.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Domagnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
DOM
2 - 3
TPE
25%
26%
50%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
MUR
4 - 1
DOM
41%
23%
36%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
FOL
1 - 2
DOM
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
TFI
2 - 0
DOM
51%
25%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
DOM
2 - 1
MUR
46%
26%
29%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Fiorentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
FOL
3 - 0
FIO
56%
24%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
FIO
3 - 1
MUR
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
FIO
2 - 0
CAI
74%
16%
10%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
FIO
3 - 0
VIR
56%
23%
22%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
TPE
3 - 0
FIO
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |