Real Brasília vs Paracatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
GAM
1 - 1
DOM
75%
15%
10%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
DOM
1 - 2
BRA
15%
20%
65%
|
43 | 68 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
CEI
1 - 1
DOM
51%
23%
27%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
GAM
1 - 2
DOM
76%
15%
9%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
PAR
2 - 0
DOM
34%
25%
41%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Paracatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2008 |
PAR
2 - 3
BDF
43%
25%
32%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
PAR
1 - 1
LEG
38%
25%
37%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
BRA
2 - 1
PAR
83%
12%
6%
|
36 | 68 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
PAR
4 - 1
GUA
42%
24%
34%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
CEI
0 - 1
PAR
66%
19%
15%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +1 |