Real Brasília vs Formosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
18.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
DOM
0 - 0
LUZ
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
CEI
0 - 1
DOM
42%
25%
34%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
DOM
0 - 2
BDF
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
GAM
0 - 0
DOM
70%
18%
12%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
DOM
2 - 3
BRA
36%
24%
40%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
BRA
1 - 0
FOR
64%
21%
16%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CEI
0 - 0
FOR
61%
22%
17%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 1
BRA
28%
25%
47%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 0
CDF
77%
15%
8%
|
41 | 13 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
BRA
2 - 0
FOR
64%
21%
15%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |