Real Brasília vs Ceilândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 0
DOM
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
DOM
0 - 2
CEI
71%
18%
12%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
LUZ
0 - 2
DOM
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
DOM
2 - 3
LEG
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
BSE
0 - 1
DOM
27%
25%
48%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
CEI
1 - 0
BDF
69%
18%
13%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
BRA
0 - 0
CEI
80%
14%
7%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
CEI
0 - 3
GAM
26%
22%
51%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
CEI
2 - 1
BRA
25%
23%
51%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
LUZ
1 - 2
CEI
48%
25%
27%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |