Real Brasília vs Ceilândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
26.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+88%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
CFZ
1 - 1
DOM
24%
22%
53%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
DOM
1 - 3
PAR
64%
19%
17%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
DOM
7 - 3
BAN
79%
13%
8%
|
47 | 6 | 41 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
SOB
0 - 2
DOM
79%
14%
8%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2000 |
PPE
4 - 0
DOM
88%
10%
2%
|
46 | 80 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
CEI
4 - 1
SOB
19%
22%
60%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
BAN
1 - 4
CEI
31%
24%
45%
|
44 | 6 | 38 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
CFZ
1 - 1
CEI
25%
22%
53%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
CEI
1 - 0
PAR
58%
21%
22%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |