Real Brasília vs Brasiliense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
58.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
TAG
1 - 3
DOM
43%
25%
33%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
DOM
2 - 1
CAP
32%
24%
45%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
GAM
0 - 1
DOM
47%
23%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
DOM
0 - 0
CEI
31%
23%
46%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
BRA
2 - 1
DOM
34%
24%
42%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
BRA
4 - 2
TOC
72%
17%
11%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
BRA
2 - 2
SAM
84%
11%
5%
|
60 | 21 | 39 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
BRA
5 - 0
TAG
70%
17%
13%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
CAP
0 - 0
BRA
20%
21%
59%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 2
GAM
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | -1 |