Dodoma vs Mbeya Kwanza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dodoma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2022 |
SIM
2 - 0
DJF
59%
24%
18%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
RUV
1 - 1
DJF
38%
27%
34%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
KMC
2 - 0
DJF
50%
26%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2022 |
AZA
2 - 0
DJF
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
DJF
1 - 2
KAG
46%
28%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mbeya Kwanza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
MKF
0 - 0
MBE
39%
29%
32%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
MKF
1 - 2
MTI
53%
26%
22%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
SIM
1 - 0
MKF
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
RUV
1 - 1
MKF
33%
27%
41%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
MKF
1 - 1
KMC
41%
29%
30%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |