Diter Zafra vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.8%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
46.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Diter Zafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
VVA
2 - 2
CDZ
73%
17%
10%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
CDZ
2 - 3
ECI
27%
30%
43%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
ALM
3 - 1
CDZ
51%
26%
23%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
EXT
2 - 1
CDZ
66%
21%
13%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
CDZ
0 - 1
AGD
27%
31%
43%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
RJA
1 - 0
UBC
46%
28%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
ALC
0 - 1
RJA
42%
28%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
RJA
0 - 0
CDL
36%
31%
34%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
CCF
1 - 0
RJA
66%
21%
13%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
RJA
1 - 0
SEV
31%
30%
39%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |