Europa League . Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
Dinamo Zagreb vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
57.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
HNS
1 - 1
DZG
15%
23%
63%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
DZG
1 - 0
HNG
50%
24%
27%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2021 |
DZG
3 - 0
TOT
21%
22%
57%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
NKV
0 - 5
DZG
17%
23%
60%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
TOT
2 - 0
DZG
66%
20%
15%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
GRA
0 - 3
VIL
23%
24%
53%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 1
CAD
80%
14%
6%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 0
DYN
67%
18%
14%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
EIB
1 - 3
VIL
22%
24%
54%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
DYN
0 - 2
VIL
24%
25%
52%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |