Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
11.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
71
1º
5º
2º
57
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
GAR
2 - 1
DTB
9%
21%
70%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
GAG
3 - 5
DTB
15%
25%
60%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
DTB
3 - 1
LOK
84%
12%
4%
|
77 | 45 | 32 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
DTB
4 - 0
SAM
78%
15%
7%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
SPA
0 - 1
DTB
21%
28%
51%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Samgurali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 0
TEL
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SHU
2 - 1
SAM
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
GAG
3 - 4
SAM
30%
28%
42%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
SAM
3 - 2
LVI
58%
23%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 1
VYS
44%
24%
33%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |