Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda. Final
Global 4-3
Dinamo Tbilisi vs Liepājas Metalurgs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
22.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Tbilisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
LIE
2 - 1
DTB
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
DTB
1 - 1
MET
66%
18%
16%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
DTB
12 - 0
BOR
88%
9%
3%
|
76 | 47 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
MGZ
1 - 0
DTB
25%
27%
48%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
DTB
1 - 1
WIT
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Liepājas Metalurgs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
LIE
2 - 1
DTB
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2009 |
FCT
1 - 0
LIE
19%
23%
58%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
LIE
6 - 0
SKB
77%
15%
8%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2009 |
JFK
1 - 5
LIE
22%
24%
54%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2009 |
RIG
1 - 4
LIE
25%
26%
49%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |