European U17 Championship qualifying Qualifying Round Round 1

Denmark U17 vs Lithuania U17 analysis

Denmark U17 Lithuania U17
54 ELO 24
10.5% Tilt 3%
4417º General ELO ranking 8753º
48º Country ELO ranking 33º
ELO win probability
79.7%
Denmark U17
13.1%
Draw
7.2%
Lithuania U17

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.7%
Win probability
Denmark U17
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
7.2%
Win probability
Lithuania U17
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%

ELO progression

Denmark U17
Lithuania U17
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Denmark U17
Denmark U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Mar. 2023
NIR
Northern Ireland U17
1 - 4
Denmark U17
DEN
12%
19%
68%
53 35 18 0
25 Mar. 2023
NED
Netherlands U17
2 - 2
Denmark U17
DEN
74%
17%
9%
53 69 16 0
22 Mar. 2023
DEN
Denmark U17
1 - 3
England U17
ENG
24%
23%
53%
54 65 11 -1
01 Nov. 2022
DEN
Denmark U17
2 - 3
Belgium U17
BEL
41%
24%
35%
54 56 2 0
29 Oct. 2022
DEN
Denmark U17
8 - 0
Estonia U17
EST
88%
9%
3%
54 29 25 0

Matches

Lithuania U17
Lithuania U17
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Oct. 2022
LTU
Lithuania U17
0 - 3
Georgia U17
GEO
25%
24%
50%
26 35 9 0
28 Oct. 2022
ISR
Israel U17
1 - 1
Lithuania U17
LTU
84%
12%
4%
25 46 21 +1
25 Oct. 2022
ENG
England U17
3 - 1
Lithuania U17
LTU
92%
7%
1%
25 65 40 0
31 Oct. 2021
LTU
Lithuania U17
1 - 4
Latvia U17
LVA
40%
22%
37%
27 31 4 -2
26 Sep. 2021
CZE
Czech Republic U17
4 - 0
Lithuania U17
LTU
79%
13%
8%
27 51 24 0