Differdange 03 vs Progrès Niederkorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
29.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
4º
12º
5º
70
2º
13º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Differdange 03
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
JEU
1 - 0
DIF
27%
26%
47%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
DIF
2 - 1
WIL
65%
20%
15%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
VIC
2 - 3
DIF
17%
22%
61%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 2
DIF
10%
16%
74%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
DIF
2 - 2
KAE
64%
20%
16%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Progrès Niederkorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
PRO
3 - 2
FOL
45%
24%
31%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ETZ
0 - 1
PRO
13%
21%
66%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
PRO
2 - 3
TPE
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
PRO
1 - 0
KAE
62%
20%
18%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
UNA
0 - 1
PRO
34%
25%
42%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |