Q. Europa League 1ra Ronda Final
Global 6-0
Differdange 03 vs NSÍ Runavík analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
14.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Differdange 03
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2012 |
DIF
1 - 2
JEU
55%
21%
24%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
SWI
0 - 3
DIF
16%
23%
61%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
DIF
6 - 1
RUM
85%
11%
4%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
DIF
2 - 1
GRE
55%
21%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
DIF
4 - 1
UKT
74%
16%
10%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
NSÍ Runavík
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2012 |
NSI
1 - 0
EBS
20%
24%
57%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
NSI
0 - 2
TOF
60%
21%
18%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
TVO
1 - 3
NSI
51%
22%
27%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2012 |
VIK
1 - 1
NSI
68%
19%
14%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
NSI
0 - 2
KLA
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -2 |