Differdange 03 vs Etzella Ettelbruck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Differdange 03
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
UNA
1 - 3
DIF
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
DIF
3 - 1
USH
68%
19%
13%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
DIF
1 - 1
USM
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
FOL
1 - 2
DIF
65%
19%
16%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
USM
0 - 0
DIF
35%
27%
39%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Etzella Ettelbruck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
ETZ
1 - 3
USM
43%
26%
30%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
FOL
3 - 1
ETZ
71%
17%
12%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
ETZ
5 - 2
FCR
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
VIC
3 - 0
ETZ
37%
23%
39%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
F91
5 - 0
ETZ
79%
13%
7%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | -2 |