Dietkirchen vs Marburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
30.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
16º
18º
18º
34
9º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
71 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
63 | 63 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
40 | 40 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dietkirchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
EDD
2 - 0
DIE
68%
19%
14%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
DIE
3 - 1
HSC
26%
21%
54%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
DIE
1 - 3
FER
25%
22%
53%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -2 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
FCE
4 - 0
DIE
57%
20%
23%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
RWW
3 - 3
DIE
65%
18%
17%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Marburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
VIK
37%
22%
42%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
FCH
4 - 1
MAR
63%
18%
19%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
GIE
1 - 0
MAR
74%
15%
11%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 3
EIN
40%
22%
38%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 3
TUR
19%
19%
62%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |