Diefflen vs VfR Baumholder analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.1%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.3%
6.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
3º
13º
9º
35
13º
20º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
99 | 99 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
72 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
68 | 68 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
66 | 66 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
61 | 61 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
61 | 61 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
58 | 58 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
55 | 55 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
54 | 54 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
51 | 51 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
51 | 51 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
48 | 48 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
47 | 47 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
44 | 44 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
42 | 42 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
35 | 35 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
30 | 30 |
18º
|
0% | |
|
19º
|
30 | 30 |
19º
|
0% | |
|
20º
|
20 | 20 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Diefflen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
DIE
5 - 1
EIN
14%
20%
66%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
WWO
2 - 1
DIE
77%
15%
9%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
DIE
2 - 1
KAI
30%
21%
48%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SPV
1 - 4
DIE
10%
13%
77%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
DIE
1 - 4
COS
76%
14%
10%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
VfR Baumholder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
VRB
2 - 2
COS
31%
21%
48%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
KOB
2 - 1
VRB
82%
12%
7%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
VRB
3 - 2
AWA
16%
17%
67%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ENG
4 - 0
VRB
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
VRB
1 - 1
MEC
14%
17%
70%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | +1 |