Devonport City vs South Hobart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.4%
30.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Devonport City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
CLA
0 - 12
DEV
4%
10%
86%
|
36 | 5 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
GLE
2 - 5
DEV
8%
13%
79%
|
35 | 11 | 24 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
KIN
0 - 2
DEV
6%
12%
82%
|
35 | 8 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
OLY
1 - 2
DEV
19%
18%
63%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
DEV
1 - 1
HOB
81%
12%
8%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
South Hobart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
SOU
2 - 0
GLE
93%
5%
2%
|
33 | 11 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
CLA
1 - 6
SOU
3%
6%
91%
|
33 | 5 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
SOU
4 - 2
KIN
94%
5%
1%
|
33 | 8 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
SOU
3 - 3
OLY
82%
11%
7%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2019 |
HOB
4 - 5
SOU
16%
16%
68%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |