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Australia Second Division. T-League, Matchday 22

Devonport City vs Kingborough Lions analysis

Devonport City Kingborough Lions
28 ELO 10
192% Tilt 76%
5084º General ELO ranking 8841º
20º Country ELO ranking 73º
ELO win probability
84.7%
Devonport City
8.1%
Draw
7.3%
Kingborough Lions

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.7%
Win probability
Devonport City
4.66
Expected goals
12-0
<0%
13-1
<0%
+12
0.1%
11-0
0.1%
12-1
0.1%
13-2
<0%
+11
0.2%
10-0
0.2%
11-1
0.2%
12-2
0.1%
13-3
<0%
+10
0.5%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.4%
11-2
0.1%
12-3
<0%
+9
1.1%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.9%
10-2
0.3%
11-3
0.1%
12-4
<0%
+8
2.3%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
1.7%
9-2
0.7%
10-3
0.2%
11-4
<0%
+7
4.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
2.8%
8-2
1.4%
9-3
0.4%
10-4
0.1%
11-5
<0%
+6
7.3%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
4.3%
7-2
2.3%
8-3
0.7%
9-4
0.2%
10-5
<0%
+5
10.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
5.5%
6-2
3.5%
7-3
1.3%
8-4
0.3%
9-5
0.1%
+4
14.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
4.5%
6-3
1.9%
7-4
0.5%
8-5
0.1%
9-6
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
4.9%
5-3
2.5%
6-4
0.8%
7-5
0.2%
8-6
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
0.9%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
2.7%
5-4
1%
6-5
0.3%
7-6
<0%
+1
12.3%
8.1%
Draw
0-0
0.2%
1-1
1.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
1.1%
5-5
0.3%
6-6
0.1%
7-7
<0%
0
8.1%
7.3%
Win probability
Kingborough Lions
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
0.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
6-7
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Devonport City
+213%
+71%
Kingborough Lions

Points and table prediction

Devonport City
Their league position
Kingborough Lions
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
29
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Devonport City
59
63
100%
Olympia Warriors
56
56
100%
South Hobart
44
46
100%
Hobart Zebras
39
41
100%
Glenorchy Knights
32
32
100%
Kingborough Lions
29
31
100%
Launceston City
24
25
100%
Riverside Olympic
14
16
100%
Clarence United
0
1
100%
Expected probabilities
Devonport City
Kingborough Lions
Champion
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%

ELO progression

Kingborough Lions
KIN
Devonport City
DEV
Glenorchy Knights
GLE
Riverside Olympic
ROF
Clarence United
CLA
Launceston City
LAU
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Devonport City
Devonport City
1%
X%
2%
ELO DEV ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jul. 2019
DEV
Devonport City
4 - 1
Olympia Warriors
OLY
47%
27%
26%
349 254 95 +2
21 Jul. 2019
HOB
Hobart Zebras
2 - 2
Devonport City
DEV
46%
27%
28%
349 300 -49 0
13 Jul. 2019
LAU
Launceston City
0 - 4
Devonport City
DEV
39%
28%
33%
347 155 -192 +2
29 Jun. 2019
DEV
Devonport City
4 - 1
South Hobart
SOU
46%
27%
27%
344 383 -39 +2
22 Jun. 2019
CLA
Clarence United
0 - 12
Devonport City
DEV
40%
28%
32%
341 133 -208 +3

Matches

Kingborough Lions
Kingborough Lions
1%
X%
2%
ELO KIN ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jul. 2019
KIN
Kingborough Lions
0 - 2
Launceston City
LAU
46%
27%
27%
154 153 1 -2
13 Jul. 2019
CLA
Clarence United
1 - 5
Kingborough Lions
KIN
46%
27%
27%
151 128 -23 +2
06 Jul. 2019
KIN
Kingborough Lions
2 - 3
Olympia Warriors
OLY
45%
27%
29%
153 250 -97 -1
29 Jun. 2019
GLE
Glenorchy Knights
1 - 4
Kingborough Lions
KIN
44%
27%
29%
150 160 10 +2
14 Jun. 2019
HOB
Hobart Zebras
1 - 2
Kingborough Lions
KIN
47%
27%
26%
149 299 150 +1