Detroit City vs Michigan Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
18%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
15%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.8%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.3%
4.3%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Detroit City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
DET
0 - 0
BOB
85%
10%
4%
|
45 | 18 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
NAM
1 - 6
DET
7%
14%
79%
|
44 | 14 | 30 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
DET
1 - 0
LAF
73%
18%
10%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
DET
0 - 1
STA
84%
11%
5%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
BOB
0 - 4
DET
11%
17%
73%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Michigan Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
BOB
0 - 1
MSF
31%
23%
46%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
MSF
1 - 4
NAM
82%
12%
6%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CAC
1 - 1
MSF
9%
17%
75%
|
26 | 8 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CUS
0 - 2
MSF
69%
17%
14%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
MSF
4 - 2
SAD
84%
11%
5%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | 0 |