Desportivo de Nacala vs Incomáti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
27.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportivo de Nacala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2018 |
SCN
1 - 1
DES
38%
28%
34%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
FER
0 - 0
DES
57%
25%
18%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
DES
1 - 0
MAX
43%
29%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
QUE
1 - 0
DES
39%
29%
32%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
DES
2 - 1
VIL
50%
28%
22%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Incomáti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2018 |
IDX
1 - 1
FCC
40%
29%
30%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
IDX
2 - 0
SCN
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
MAX
1 - 1
IDX
46%
29%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
IDX
1 - 1
QUE
50%
27%
23%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 2
IDX
39%
31%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |