Desportivo Aves vs Tondela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
AVE
5 - 1
TRO
53%
24%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
TRO
1 - 0
AVE
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
AVE
0 - 0
SCF
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
AVE
2 - 0
PEN
59%
23%
19%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 0
AVE
39%
30%
32%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Tondela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
TON
0 - 1
SAN
54%
23%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
BOA
0 - 1
TON
40%
28%
33%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
TON
1 - 1
MAD
80%
14%
6%
|
63 | 27 | 36 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
OPE
1 - 0
TON
20%
25%
55%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
TON
4 - 2
ESP
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |