Desportivo Aves vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
66.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 1
AVE
11%
19%
70%
|
65 | 36 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
POR
2 - 2
AVE
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
AVE
0 - 0
RIO
24%
28%
47%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 1
AVE
64%
23%
13%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2017 |
AVE
2 - 1
BEL
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
SLB
0 - 1
MUD
45%
24%
30%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
OLH
0 - 1
SLB
12%
21%
68%
|
88 | 48 | 40 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 1
SLB
16%
23%
61%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
BAS
5 - 0
SLB
35%
25%
40%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
SLB
2 - 0
PAÇ
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |