Desportiva Ferroviária vs Rio Branco ES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
38.4%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportiva Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
SER
0 - 2
DES
58%
23%
20%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
DES
1 - 2
COL
17%
19%
64%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
CAP
0 - 2
DES
13%
18%
69%
|
43 | 13 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
NVE
3 - 1
DES
70%
18%
12%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
DES
0 - 2
NVE
19%
20%
60%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Rio Branco ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
RIO
1 - 1
REA
26%
25%
50%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
LIN
1 - 2
RIO
16%
22%
62%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
RIO
0 - 0
SER
40%
24%
37%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
REA
3 - 1
RIO
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
RIO
1 - 0
REA
33%
26%
41%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +2 |