Desportiva Ferroviária vs Real Noroeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportiva Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
DES
4 - 1
VFC
50%
23%
27%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
DES
1 - 1
RIO
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
RIO
2 - 1
DES
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
RVV
2 - 0
DES
53%
23%
25%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
DES
2 - 0
SER
49%
23%
28%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Real Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
REA
2 - 0
EST
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
PAL
2 - 0
REA
13%
19%
68%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
RVV
2 - 2
REA
53%
22%
25%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
BRA
3 - 0
REA
59%
23%
18%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
REA
2 - 2
RVV
30%
22%
48%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |