Desportiva Ferroviária vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
34.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desportiva Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 1
DES
56%
23%
22%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
DES
2 - 2
BAN
41%
26%
33%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
BAN
0 - 1
DES
59%
23%
18%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
DES
0 - 0
VIL
55%
25%
21%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2017 |
POR
1 - 0
DES
64%
21%
15%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
POR
3 - 0
BAN
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
POR
0 - 0
VIL
64%
22%
15%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 1
POR
40%
26%
34%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
BAN
1 - 0
POR
42%
27%
31%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2017 |
POR
1 - 0
DES
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |