Ukrainian Premier League Promotion . Final
Global 5-1
Desna Chernihiv vs Zirka Kirovohrad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
28.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desna Chernihiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2018 |
ZIR
1 - 1
DES
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
DES
5 - 0
HEL
73%
18%
9%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
INH
1 - 3
DES
34%
30%
36%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
DES
3 - 0
MFK
68%
20%
12%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2018 |
OBO
0 - 2
DES
20%
26%
55%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Zirka Kirovohrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2018 |
ZIR
1 - 1
DES
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
CHO
1 - 0
ZIR
34%
29%
37%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
ZIR
1 - 1
KPT
41%
28%
31%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
PFC
1 - 0
ZIR
57%
25%
19%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
ZIR
2 - 0
OLI
40%
28%
33%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |