Derthona vs Chiavari Caperana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
29.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
BOR
1 - 1
DER
64%
21%
15%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
DER
1 - 2
GOZ
52%
24%
25%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
VER
2 - 1
DER
39%
25%
36%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
DER
0 - 0
VER
52%
23%
25%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 1
DER
28%
25%
47%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Chiavari Caperana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 1
AST
49%
23%
28%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SES
2 - 1
CHI
45%
24%
31%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 1
PRO
75%
16%
10%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
BOR
4 - 1
CHI
56%
22%
23%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
VER
3 - 0
CHI
35%
24%
41%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |