Derthona vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
34.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
DER
2 - 0
FOS
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
ASD
0 - 1
DER
52%
23%
26%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
DER
0 - 0
ACS
79%
14%
7%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2022 |
DER
1 - 2
CAR
44%
27%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
PRO
3 - 1
DER
21%
22%
57%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
GOZ
0 - 1
CAS
49%
26%
25%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 0
NOV
12%
22%
67%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
FOS
1 - 4
CAS
40%
23%
37%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 0
SES
42%
27%
31%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 0
LAV
56%
25%
20%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |