Derthona vs Città di Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
29%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
PDH
0 - 0
DER
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
DER
1 - 1
CHI
30%
25%
45%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
DER
1 - 1
CAS
30%
25%
45%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
DER
3 - 2
BOR
37%
26%
37%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
ASD
2 - 2
DER
73%
16%
10%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Città di Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 1
CHI
29%
23%
48%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
ASD
3 - 0
ASD
72%
16%
13%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
ASD
0 - 1
FOL
23%
22%
55%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 1
ACS
53%
21%
26%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
BOR
1 - 3
ASD
54%
22%
24%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |