Derry City vs Waterford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
28.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
SHR
2 - 2
DER
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
DER
2 - 1
STP
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SLR
0 - 0
DER
19%
26%
55%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
DER
2 - 1
DRO
64%
22%
14%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
INS
0 - 3
DER
11%
19%
70%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Waterford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
WAT
3 - 1
STP
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
GAL
2 - 1
WAT
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
DRO
1 - 4
WAT
27%
26%
48%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
WAT
1 - 1
SHE
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
WAT
3 - 2
TRE
81%
13%
6%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |