Derry City vs Treaty United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
6.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
DER
3 - 0
FIN
75%
17%
8%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
STP
0 - 1
DER
38%
28%
35%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
DER
3 - 1
SHR
43%
26%
32%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
DER
1 - 0
SLR
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
DER
1 - 0
BOH
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Treaty United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
WAT
3 - 0
TRE
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
TRE
1 - 1
GAL
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LON
1 - 1
TRE
40%
28%
32%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
TRE
4 - 1
UCD
34%
21%
45%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
TRE
2 - 1
BRW
60%
22%
17%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |