Derry City vs St Patrick's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2021 |
WAT
0 - 1
DER
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
SHR
1 - 1
DER
72%
19%
10%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
DER
1 - 1
LON
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
DER
1 - 2
FIN
59%
23%
17%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
BOH
1 - 2
DER
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2021 |
STP
2 - 1
BOH
38%
29%
33%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
DRO
3 - 1
STP
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
STP
1 - 2
SHR
22%
28%
50%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
SLR
1 - 1
STP
43%
28%
30%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
STP
3 - 0
LON
57%
25%
19%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |