Derry City vs Longford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8.5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
BOH
3 - 3
DER
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
DER
2 - 2
FIN
58%
24%
19%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
FIN
1 - 0
DER
28%
25%
48%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
SLR
1 - 2
DER
40%
28%
33%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
DER
1 - 0
DUN
28%
25%
48%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Longford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
LON
1 - 0
DUN
12%
21%
68%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
STP
3 - 2
LON
74%
18%
8%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
UCD
2 - 1
LON
64%
19%
17%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2021 |
WAT
4 - 1
LON
62%
22%
17%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
LON
0 - 3
FIN
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |