Derry City vs Galway United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
23.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
LON
0 - 0
DER
45%
25%
30%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
DER
1 - 2
BOH
44%
29%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2015 |
LIM
0 - 2
DER
29%
26%
45%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
DER
0 - 0
BRW
67%
21%
12%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
DER
0 - 0
SHR
29%
29%
42%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Galway United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2015 |
GAL
1 - 4
STP
25%
26%
49%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
BRW
0 - 5
GAL
31%
25%
44%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2015 |
DUN
3 - 0
GAL
74%
17%
9%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
GAL
3 - 2
LIM
47%
25%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
GAL
0 - 1
SLR
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |