Derry City vs Dundalk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SHR
1 - 0
DER
45%
27%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
SLR
0 - 0
DER
30%
28%
43%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
DER
1 - 1
SHE
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
DER
2 - 1
TRE
81%
13%
6%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
DER
3 - 0
FIN
75%
17%
8%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 1
BOH
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
DUN
3 - 3
SLR
59%
24%
18%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
FIN
1 - 2
DUN
13%
23%
64%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
DUN
1 - 2
STP
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
DUN
2 - 0
DRO
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | +1 |