Northern Ireland League Cup . 1/16

Dergview FC vs Newry City analysis

Dergview FC Newry City
46 ELO 50
12.2% Tilt 4.3%
5475º General ELO ranking 4325º
31º Country ELO ranking 26º
ELO win probability
41.5%
Dergview FC
24%
Draw
34.5%
Newry City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
Dergview FC
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
34.6%
Win probability
Newry City
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dergview FC
-23%
-30%
Newry City

ELO progression

Dergview FC
Newry City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dergview FC
Dergview FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Aug. 2012
DUN
Dundela
4 - 0
Dergview FC
DER
59%
21%
21%
47 48 1 0
11 Aug. 2012
DER
Dergview FC
0 - 0
Bangor
BAN
50%
23%
28%
48 48 0 -1
28 Apr. 2012
HAR
Harland & Wolff Welders
0 - 0
Dergview FC
DER
42%
25%
34%
48 46 2 0
24 Apr. 2012
TOB
Tobermore United
1 - 1
Dergview FC
DER
36%
25%
39%
48 43 5 0
21 Apr. 2012
INS
Institute
1 - 0
Dergview FC
DER
39%
26%
36%
49 47 2 -1

Matches

Newry City
Newry City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 May. 2012
NEW
Newry City
2 - 3
Lisburn Distillery
LIS
52%
22%
26%
52 50 2 0
01 May. 2012
LIS
Lisburn Distillery
0 - 0
Newry City
NEW
49%
23%
28%
52 50 2 0
28 Apr. 2012
LAR
Larne
2 - 0
Newry City
NEW
25%
25%
51%
53 37 16 -1
24 Apr. 2012
NEW
Newry City
2 - 0
Loughgall
LOU
64%
21%
16%
53 45 8 0
21 Apr. 2012
NEW
Newry City
3 - 3
Tobermore United
TOB
67%
20%
13%
53 42 11 0
X