FA Cup . Previa 2

Dereham Town vs Whitton United analysis

Dereham Town Whitton United
30 ELO 12
5.1% Tilt 5.7%
8649º General ELO ranking 20759º
472º Country ELO ranking 942º
ELO win probability
78.2%
Dereham Town
13.2%
Draw
8.6%
Whitton United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
Dereham Town
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
8.6%
Win probability
Whitton United
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO progression

Dereham Town
Whitton United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dereham Town
Dereham Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Mar. 2020
HUL
Hullbridge Sports
0 - 2
Dereham Town
DER
16%
18%
66%
29 18 11 0
07 Mar. 2020
BRE
Brentwood Town
1 - 3
Dereham Town
DER
28%
22%
50%
28 21 7 +1
22 Feb. 2020
WHI
Witham Town
1 - 1
Dereham Town
DER
16%
19%
65%
28 18 10 0
15 Feb. 2020
DER
Dereham Town
1 - 2
Maldon & Tiptree
MAL
12%
18%
71%
29 47 18 -1
08 Feb. 2020
TIL
Tilbury
1 - 0
Dereham Town
DER
59%
20%
21%
30 35 5 -1

Matches

Whitton United
Whitton United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Sep. 2020
WHI
Whitton United
4 - 3
Ipswich Wanderers
IPS
35%
22%
43%
12 14 2 0
07 Sep. 2019
SOH
Soham Town Rangers
3 - 0
Whitton United
WHI
75%
15%
10%
12 24 12 0
24 Aug. 2019
WHI
Whitton United
2 - 1
Thetford Town
THE
46%
22%
32%
12 11 1 0
11 Aug. 2019
ESS
West Essex
1 - 2
Whitton United
WHI
64%
18%
18%
10 14 4 +2
25 Aug. 2018
BAS
Basildon United
2 - 1
Whitton United
WHI
64%
18%
18%
11 15 4 -1
X