Dereham Town vs Coggeshall Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
23.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dereham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
ROM
0 - 4
DER
20%
20%
60%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
DER
3 - 3
MAL
20%
20%
60%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
BRE
2 - 0
DER
41%
23%
36%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
DER
2 - 1
BUR
49%
23%
28%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
DER
0 - 4
AVE
30%
23%
47%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Coggeshall Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
CAN
1 - 0
CTF
67%
19%
15%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
CTF
4 - 2
AVE
16%
21%
63%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +4 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
TIL
2 - 0
CTF
49%
24%
27%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
CTF
3 - 2
BAR
45%
24%
31%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
WHI
1 - 1
CTF
19%
21%
60%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | -1 |