Derby County Sub 23 vs Swansea Sub 23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
39.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
SUN
2 - 1
DER
27%
24%
49%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2017 |
ARS
3 - 3
DER
64%
20%
17%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
DER
0 - 2
LEI
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2017 |
WHU
1 - 5
DER
53%
23%
24%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2017 |
DER
1 - 0
TOT
43%
24%
33%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Swansea Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
SWA
2 - 0
CHE
46%
24%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2017 |
LIV
1 - 3
SWA
69%
19%
13%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
SUN
0 - 2
SWA
36%
25%
40%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2017 |
SWA
3 - 1
ARS
24%
23%
53%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +3 |
| 27 Oct. 2017 |
SWA
1 - 2
EVE
25%
24%
51%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | -1 |