Derby County Sub 23 vs Man. Utd Sub 23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
LIV
1 - 0
DER
67%
19%
14%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2018 |
DER
3 - 3
SWA
35%
25%
40%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
SUN
2 - 1
DER
27%
24%
49%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2017 |
ARS
3 - 3
DER
64%
20%
17%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2017 |
DER
0 - 2
LEI
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Man. Utd Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2018 |
MUN
1 - 3
TOT
53%
23%
25%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2018 |
ARS
4 - 0
MUN
67%
19%
15%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2018 |
MUN
0 - 3
WHU
50%
24%
27%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2017 |
MUN
1 - 1
LEI
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2017 |
EVE
0 - 0
MUN
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |