Derby County Sub 23 vs Chelsea Sub 23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
39.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2019 |
TOT
3 - 1
DER
45%
24%
32%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2019 |
DER
2 - 2
WHU
45%
24%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2019 |
ARS
5 - 0
DER
62%
21%
18%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
DER
1 - 3
LIV
33%
26%
41%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2019 |
BHA
2 - 1
DER
55%
23%
22%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Chelsea Sub 23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2019 |
BHA
1 - 2
CHE
59%
21%
20%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2019 |
CHE
1 - 3
ARS
30%
25%
45%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
LIV
3 - 2
CHE
58%
23%
20%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
CHE
2 - 0
MCI
41%
23%
36%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
TOT
1 - 1
CHE
39%
24%
37%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |