Derby County vs West Ham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
14%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1977 |
DER
2 - 3
EVE
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1977 |
LEI
1 - 1
DER
50%
25%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1977 |
DER
2 - 1
ASV
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1977 |
DER
2 - 2
NOR
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1977 |
DER
2 - 0
STO
65%
21%
15%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
West Ham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1977 |
NEW
3 - 0
WHU
68%
18%
14%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1977 |
WHU
1 - 0
NOR
52%
25%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1977 |
COV
1 - 1
WHU
53%
24%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1977 |
WHU
2 - 2
BIR
49%
24%
26%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1977 |
QPR
1 - 1
WHU
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |