Derby County vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
MIL
3 - 3
DER
17%
24%
59%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
HUR
4 - 4
DER
27%
27%
46%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2015 |
DER
4 - 0
BPO
81%
14%
5%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
DER
1 - 1
BRE
59%
23%
19%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
WIG
0 - 2
DER
26%
27%
47%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2015 |
ROT
2 - 1
REA
38%
26%
36%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
REA
0 - 2
BRE
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2015 |
REA
0 - 1
BIR
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
REA
1 - 2
ARS
8%
17%
74%
|
68 | 92 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2015 |
REA
0 - 1
BOU
29%
26%
45%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |