Derby County vs Queens Park Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
22.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2009 |
DER
1 - 0
MUD
14%
24%
62%
|
68 | 97 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
FOR
3 - 4
DER
27%
24%
50%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
DER
0 - 1
IPS
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
PNE
2 - 0
DER
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
DER
1 - 0
WAT
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Queens Park Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2009 |
BUR
2 - 1
QPR
55%
24%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
QPR
1 - 1
COV
51%
25%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
QPR
0 - 0
BUR
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
QPR
0 - 0
WAT
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
CHA
2 - 2
QPR
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |