Derby County vs Norwich City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
COV
1 - 1
DER
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2008 |
BPO
3 - 2
DER
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
DER
2 - 1
PLY
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
NOR
1 - 2
DER
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2008 |
DER
1 - 1
BIR
29%
26%
45%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
NOR
2 - 1
DON
51%
26%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2008 |
NOR
5 - 2
WOL
34%
28%
38%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
BRI
1 - 0
NOR
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
NOR
1 - 2
DER
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2008 |
SOU
2 - 0
NOR
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |